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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
60%chance
YesNo
$10.2K Vol.
Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase55%YesNo
50+ bps decrease50%YesNo
$90.27 Vol.
ETH Up or Down 1h
50%Up
UpDown
Live · Ethereum
BTC Up or Down 1h
50%Up
UpDown
Live · Bitcoin
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
15%chance
YesNo
$26.95 Vol.
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
29%chance
YesNo
$40.18 Vol.
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
25%chance
YesNo
$544.70 Vol.
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
78%chance
YesNo
$69.60 Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
22%chance
YesNo
$290.15 Vol.
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
27%chance
YesNo
$251.38 Vol.
Fed rate hike in 2026?
76%chance
YesNo
$190.18 Vol.