Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

17% chance
0%
$26.95 Vol.Sep 30, 2026
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions t

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CategoryFinance
SettlementOn-chain Conditional Tokens
OpenedJul 31, 2026, 2:48 AM
Condition0x61e4378e…968f68

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Yes
Amount$0.00 cash
$
To win $588.24
Avg. Price17¢

Partial fill: only 588.24 shares execute.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?" is a finance prediction market on CHOK where traders buy Yes or No shares based on how likely they think the outcome is. The market price reflects the crowd's probability estimate in real time, and each share settles for $1 if correct or $0 if not.