TrendingCombosPerpsBreakingNewPoliticsSportsCryptoEsportsIranFinanceGeopoliticsTechCultureEconomyWeatherMentionsElectionsArt
Economy·CPI Release

Fed rate hike in 2026?

76% chance
▲ 0%
$190.18 Vol.Dec 9, 2026
No trade data yet
Polling
PriceSharesTotal
No asks
—
No bids

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Propose resolution
CategoryEconomy
SettlementOn-chain Conditional Tokens
OpenedJul 31, 2026, 2:46 AM
Condition0x08b9f7d6…99d144
Exchange Conditional Tokens

Comments 0

Connect a wallet to comment.

  • No comments yet. Be the first.
No trades yet.
No holders yet.
Connect a wallet to see your activity here.
Connect a wallet to see positions and open orders.
Yes
Amount$0.00 cash
$
To win $131.58
Avg. Price76¢

Partial fill: only 131.58 shares execute.

Install a wallet (MetaMask) to trade.

By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use.

Economy Odds & Predictions
Fed Decision in September?50%

Frequently Asked Questions

"Fed rate hike in 2026?" is a economy prediction market on CHOK where traders buy Yes or No shares based on how likely they think the outcome is. The market price reflects the crowd's probability estimate in real time, and each share settles for $1 if correct or $0 if not.